Risk at the Intersections: The Nuclear Impacts of Emerging Technologies（交錯する複数のリスク：新興技術がもたらす核への影響）
本イベントは、人工知能、自律型システム、サイバー、宇宙領域などの新興技術が、核兵器および関連システムと交差することで生じる核リスクとエスカレーション経路を検討します。あわせて、核兵器使用がもたらす人道、環境、健康、社会経済の影響に関する最新の研究と政策的含意を共有し、分野横断的な対話を促進します。2026年NPT運用検討会議や国連の核戦争影響に関する議論を見据え、包括的な核リスク低減と軍備管理と軍縮の課題を整理します。
本イベントは対面とオンラインのハイブリッド形式で開催され、日本からはオンラインでの一般参加が可能です。
■プログラム：
AGENDA: DAY 1 (22 JANUARY 2026)
Opening remarks (10:50-11:00)
Session 1 (11:00-12:30)
The Risk Nexus of Emerging Technologies
This session explores how developments in artificial intelligence, cyber capabilities, and outer space intersect with nuclear weapons and related systems. It identifies potential pathways through which their interactions can increase risk of escalation, including nuclear use.
Session 2 (13:30-15:00)
The Adaptability of Nuclear Governance
This session considers ways in which elements of the global nuclear order have addressed technological challenges in the past, and their capacity to reduce risks current and future. It will also reflect on technological futures, including the exponential advancement of artificial intelligence. Furthermore, the session will examine how accelerating climate change intensifies risks by fuelling tensions, undermining governance, and compounding systemic threats across security, environmental, and technological domains. Illustrative cases—such as the growing geopolitical competition in the Arctic region—highlight how environmental transformation can reshape geopolitical and nuclear dynamics, even in regions traditionally viewed as global commons.
Session 3 (15:30-17:00)
Expanding the Conversation
This session explores evolving trends in the nuclear landscape, highlighting the growing interest in nuclear energy and the broader applications of nuclear technology for peaceful purposes. It also examines approaches to operationalizing a multi-stakeholder governance framework in response to this changing environment.
AGENDA: DAY 2 (23 JANUARY 2026)
Session 4 (9:00-10:30)
The Effects of Nuclear War in the 21st Century
Against the backdrop of the ongoing UN panel on nuclear war effects, this session examines new research pertaining to the humanitarian, environmental, health, and socioeconomic consequences of nuclear weapons use. It also considers how scientific and policy conversations can be more effectively bridged.
Session 5 (11:00-12:30)
Lessons Learned across Regimes
This panel considers ways in which other multilateral regimes have considered governance issues linked to technological development. This includes exploration of the opportunities and risks generated by the advance and diffusion of biotechnology in the context of the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention, as well as the role of the ChemTech Centre and the Scientific Advisory Board in the context of the Chemical Weapons Convention.
Session 6 (13:30-15:00)
Addressing Risk at the Intersections
The final session seeks to synthesize insights from previous panels. Building on discussions of climate change, global trends towards militarization, and emerging technologies, it explores broad, cross-cutting strategies for managing 3/4compounded risks and considers how these can be operationalized in upcoming multilateral nuclear processes—including the 2026 NPT Review Conference, the 4th Meeting of States Parties of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, and other key forums.
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