The 75th Anniversary Nagasaki Nuclear-Pandemic Nexus Scenario Project

Final Report:
PANDEMIC FUTURES and NUCLEAR WEAPON RISKS

[Summary: PDF]  [Full text: PDF]

 

1.  Outline
2.  Opening Session
3.  Participants
4.  Working Papers
5.  Special Working Paper

 

1. Outline [PDF]

 

2. Opening Session [YouTube]  ∗Only this part was open to the public and media.

October 31 (Sat)

 9:00  Susumu SHIRABE Vice President of Nagasaki University
 9:05  Tomihisa TAUE Mayor of Nagasaki (video message)
 9:10  Eun-ha KWON Deputy Executive Director, APLN
 9:15  Gareth EVANS Chair, APLN and Distinguished Honorary Professor at the Australian National University
 9:25  Peter HAYES Honorary Professor, Center for International Security Studies; Executive Director, Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability

 9:30  Presentation of Working Papers (1)
1. Leon V. SIGAL
The U.S. Election and Nuclear Order in the Post-Pandemic World
2. Chung-in MOON
Geopolitical Future of Northeast Asia
10:30  Break
10:40  Presentation of Working Papers (2)
1. David LEGGE and Sun KIM
Vaccine pivot point, institutional and political economy choices
2. C.G. Nicholas MASCIE-TAYLOR / Kazuhiko MOJI
Pandemics
3. Masao TOMONAGA
Nagasaki’s Voice: 75 Years’ Experience

11:40  End

 

3. Participants [PDF]

 

4. Working Papers

G. D. HESS: The Impact of a Regional Nuclear Conflict between India and Pakistan: Two Views
Posted September 30, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Leon V. SIGAL: The U.S. Election and Nuclear Order in the Post-Pandemic World
Posted September 30, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Masao TOMONAGA: Nagasaki’s Voice: 75 Years’ Experience
Posted October 8, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


C.G. Nicholas MASCIE-TAYLOR and Kazuhiko MOJI: Pandemics
Posted October 14, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Allan BEHM: Extended Deterrence and Extended Nuclear Deterrence in a Pandemic World
Posted October 16, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Michael HAMEL-GREEN: An Alternative to Nuclear Deadlock and Stalled Diplomacy: Proposals, Pathways, and Prospects for the Northeast Asia Nuclear Weapon Free Zone
Posted October 16, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Brian NICHIPORUK: COVID-19 and Labor Demand, Migration, and Military Force Structure Implications in East Asia
Posted October 27, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Richard PILCH and Miles POMPER: Asia-Pacific Perspective on Biological Weapons and Nuclear Deterrence in the Pandemic Era
Posted October 28, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Steven E. MILLER: Nuclear Hotlines: Origins, Evolution, Applications
Posted October 29, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Changwoo SHON: The Role of Cities as First Responders to Pandemics: Focusing on the Case of the Seoul Metropolitan Government’s Response to COVID-19
Posted October 30, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


David LEGGE, Sun KIM: Vaccine pivot point, institutional and political economy choices
Posted October 30, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Petr TOPYCHKANOV: Assessing the modernization of nuclear postures
Posted October 30, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Lynn EDEN: U.S. Planning for Pandemics and Large-Scale Nuclear War
Posted November 24, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


Richard TANTER: Hope Becomes Law: The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons in the Asia Pacific Region
Posted December 14, 2020 (JST)  [Abstract] [Full-text: PDF]


 

5. Special Working Paper

Chung-in MOON: Hotline Between Two Koreas: Status, Limitations and Future Tasks
Posted December 18, 2020 (JST)  [Introduction] [Full-text: PDF]


 

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